Housing Market Report (December 2024): Is Now a Good Time to Buy a Home?

Navigating the U.S. Housing Market: Insights for Homebuyers

housing-report-december-2024

Observed and forecasted housing market data for December 2024. Includes monthly data and forecasts projecting 12 months into the future.

yfinance-btc-usd-upbeat-kirch-forecast-mystifying-dhawan

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-upbeat-kirch from 2024-12-08 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-upbeat-kirch

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2020-01-01 to present

yfinance-eth-usd-kind-wilbur-forecast-nifty-margulis

Forecasted yfinance-eth-usd-kind-wilbur from 2024-12-01 to 2024-12-30

yfinance-eth-usd-kind-wilbur-forecast-fervent-maxwell

Forecasted yfinance-eth-usd-kind-wilbur from 2024-12-01 to 2024-12-30

yfinance-eth-usd-kind-wilbur

Dataset ETH-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-12-01 to 2024-12-01

yfinance-btc-usd-brave-merkle-forecast-frosty-shaw

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-brave-merkle from 2024-11-27 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-brave-merkle

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-dazzling-kilby-forecast-elastic-kowalevski

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-dazzling-kilby from 2024-11-26 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-dazzling-kilby

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-hardcore-shockley

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-vigorous-chaum-forecast-peaceful-robinson

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-vigorous-chaum from 2024-11-23 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-vigorous-chaum

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-agitated-chatterjee-forecast-reverent-morse

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-agitated-chatterjee from 2024-11-17 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-agitated-chatterjee-forecast-wizardly-bose

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-agitated-chatterjee from 2024-11-17 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-agitated-chatterjee

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-loving-maxwell-forecast-elastic-poitras

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-loving-maxwell from 2024-11-14 to 2025-05-12

yfinance-btc-usd-loving-maxwell

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-11-13 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-dazzling-chatelet

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-11-13 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-clever-mclean-forecast-bold-hopper

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-clever-mclean from 2024-10-29 to 2025-01-26

yfinance-btc-usd-clever-mclean

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-29 to 2024-10-29

yfinance-btc-usd-cool-davinci-forecast-intelligent-cannon

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-cool-davinci from 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-26

yfinance-btc-usd-cool-davinci

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-01 to 2024-10-28

yfinance-btc-usd-priceless-dijkstra

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-28

fred-fgexpnd-cranky-kalam-forecast-youthful-elgamal

Forecasted fred-fgexpnd-cranky-kalam from 2024-07-01 to 2026-04-01

fred-fgexpnd-cranky-kalam

Dataset FGEXPND downloaded from fred: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-msft-pedantic-rhodes-forecast-ecstatic-lovelace

Forecasted yfinance-msft-pedantic-rhodes from 2024-10-24 to 2025-01-01

yfinance-msft-pedantic-rhodes

Dataset MSFT downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-24 to present

yfinance-gc-f-dreamy-chebyshev-forecast-ecstatic-gagarin

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-dreamy-chebyshev from 2024-10-24 to 2024-12-04

yfinance-gc-f-dreamy-chebyshev

Dataset GC=F downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-01 to present

yfinance-gc-f-affectionate-ardinghelli-forecast-nifty-chaum

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-affectionate-ardinghelli from 2024-10-24 to 2024-12-04

yfinance-gc-f-affectionate-ardinghelli-forecast-nostalgic-faraday

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-affectionate-ardinghelli from 2024-10-24 to 2024-12-04

yfinance-gc-f-affectionate-ardinghelli

Dataset GC=F downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-23 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-infallible-johnson

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-22 to 2024-10-23

yfinance-gc-f-sharp-elion

Dataset GC=F downloaded from yfinance: 2023-10-23 to 2024-10-23

yfinance-msft-frosty-elbakyan

Dataset MSFT downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-busy-banzai-forecast-practical-lichterman

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-busy-banzai from 2024-10-22 to 2024-11-20

yfinance-btc-usd-busy-banzai

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-01 to 2024-10-22

fred-dgs10-dazzling-benz-forecast-competent-lumiere

Forecasted fred-dgs10-dazzling-benz from 2024-10-21 to 2025-06-27

fred-dgs10-dazzling-benz

Dataset DGS10 downloaded from fred: 2019-10-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-focused-moore

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-22 to 2024-10-22

yfinance-btc-usd-eager-beaver

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-01-01 to present

fred-gdp-brave-margulis

Dataset GDP downloaded from fred: 2000-01-01 to 2024-04-01

fred-gdp-blissful-lumiere

Dataset GDP downloaded from fred: 2019-10-01 to 2024-04-01

fred-cpiaucsl-stupefied-sammet-forecast-serene-carson

Forecasted fred-cpiaucsl-stupefied-sammet from 2024-10-01 to 2025-09-01

fred-cpiaucsl-stupefied-sammet

Dataset CPIAUCSL downloaded from fred: 2019-10-01 to 2024-09-01

fred-cpiaucsl-eloquent-aryabhata

Dataset CPIAUCSL downloaded from fred: 2019-10-01 to 2024-09-01

fred-cpiaucsl-nifty-goldwasser

Dataset CPIAUCSL downloaded from fred: 2019-10-01 to 2024-09-01

yfinance-btc-usd-wizardly-carver-forecast-distracted-ramanujan

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-wizardly-carver from 2024-10-18 to 2024-12-31

yfinance-btc-usd-wizardly-carver

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-01-01 to present

yfinance-msft-affectionate-einstein

Dataset MSFT downloaded from yfinance: 2024-01-01 to 2024-10-17

yfinance-btc-usd-thirsty-turing

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-confident-archimedes-forecast-trusting-jang

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-confident-archimedes from 2024-10-16 to 2024-11-14

yfinance-btc-usd-confident-archimedes

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to 2024-10-17

yfinance-gc-f-eager-ishizaka-forecast-laughing-volhard

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-eager-ishizaka from 2024-10-17 to 2024-12-30

yfinance-gc-f-eager-ishizaka

Dataset GC=F downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson-forecast-eager-benz

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson from 1970-01-01 to 1970-01-01

yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson-forecast-compassionate-pike

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson from 1970-01-01 to 1970-01-01

yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson-forecast-wonderful-almeida

Forecasted yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson from 1970-01-01 to 1970-01-01

yfinance-gc-f-elastic-williamson

Dataset GC=F downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-cl-f-dazzling-faraday-forecast-gracious-beaver

Forecasted yfinance-cl-f-dazzling-faraday from 2024-10-17 to 2024-12-30

yfinance-cl-f-dazzling-faraday

Dataset CL=F downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-awesome-albattani-forecast-distracted-lumiere

Forecasted yfinance-btc-usd-awesome-albattani from 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-24

yfinance-btc-usd-awesome-albattani

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-gallant-carson

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-zealous-noyce

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2019-10-17 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-cranky-joliot

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-loving-aryabhata

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-01 to present

yfinance-btc-usd-unruffled-sammet

Dataset BTC-USD downloaded from yfinance: 2024-10-01 to present

Forecasted Copper Prices (September 2024, 3 month outlook)

Market forecast report for Copper Prices (PCOPPUSDM), looking at monthly price movements from September to November 2024.

copper-price-forecast-september-2024

3 month outlook of copper prices (September 2024 to November 2024)

Computational efficiency and knowledge transfer with model templates in AutoTS

Model templating allows for the export and import of model configurations in AutoTS. For domain-specific forecasting tasks this can significantly enhance the model search and optimization process.

cpg-sales-model-template

This dataset includes over 500 of the best models for CPG sales forecasting. Load this template into AutoTS and evolve it with your own sales data for even stronger results.

Applying the AnomalyRemoval transformation to a time series with AutoTS

The anomaly removal transformation removes outliers from source data before forecasting. Source: https://github.com/winedarksea/AutoTS/blob/master/autots/tools/transform.py#L2848

Page view dynamics for Google Chrome significantly changed sometime mid-to-late 2019

If a model was selected to forecast page views back in 2017, it likely would perform well until late 2019. As we see in this chart, after 2020 the dynamics changed and the previously selected model might not handle the new dynamics well. This highlights the need for a continuously adaptive model search.

Applying the KalmanSmoothing transformation to a time series with AutoTS

This transformation applies a Kalman filter to smooth data. Source: https://github.com/winedarksea/AutoTS/blob/master/autots/tools/transform.py#L3467

Demonstrating genetic algorithms by learning the mechanics of walking

This demonstration shows the process of a genetic algorithm applied to evolving the mechanics of walking. Each generation, the best of the previous generation are paired to create new variations of the best model. From https://rednuht.org/genetic_walkers/

AutoTS and the power of continuous learning

Exploring how the use of genetic algorithms and continuous learning principles creates a system that can adapt to changing patterns over time as the dynamics of the forecast source data changes.

Oil Price Forecast (July 2024)

Market forecast report for WTI Crude Oil Prices (DCOILWTICO), looking at expected daily price movements in July 2024.

oil-price-forecast-july-2024

Forecasted oil prices (WTI Crude) for July 2024

autots-metric-weighting-comparison-rmse

Forecast generated by AutoTS with an increase RMSE metric weighting and a decreased sMAPE weighting.

autots-metric-weighting-comparison-made

Forecast generated by AutoTS with an increase MADE metric weighting.

Exploring the effects of different metric weightings available in AutoTS

Developing a visual intuition for how changing metric weightings used by AutoTS can affect the dynamics of the forecast generated.

autots-metric-weighting-comparison-mle

Forecast generated by AutoTS with an increase MLE metric weighting.

autots-metric-weighting-comparison-balanced

Forecast generated by AutoTS with the default, balanced metric weighting.

Product demand forecast optimized on sMAPE

If the demand is too random, there is sometimes nothing better than a flat line of zeroes, or ones. However, most clients/stakeholders do not like flat lines for forecasts.

Product demand forecast optimized with the Wasserstein metric

The Wasserstein or Earth Moving Metric looks at how much energy is required to reshape the predicted forecast into the actual data. For a lot of demand forecasting use cases, like inventory management, being close, say within a day, is usually pretty good and within the tolerances of the system, making Wasserstein distance a good choice.

Pros and cons of different forecasting approaches

Statistical, machine learning, and deep learning forecasting approaches each have their own unique pros and cons

How to optimize demand forecasting outputs for business objectives

By adopting a metric weighting approach, businesses can create more nuanced, flexible, and business-aligned forecasts.

A dynamic approach to demand forecasting: balancing accuracy and business objectives

Demand forecasting solutions do best when they are designed to be flexible to handle the unique requirements of the business. Let's learn more about how Nousot's solution keeps this top-of-mind.

Profiling time series allows you to categorize your data into understandable buckets

Nousot's demand forecasting solution splits your data into four major buckets in order to model each one separately.

Demand forecasting solutions are plauged by three common problems

They are challenging to model, difficult to scale, and painful to integrate. Credit https://www.nousot.com/resources/using-genai-to-completely-disrupt-traditional-platform-migrations-to-databricks-2/

The demand forecasting solution that reduced monthly inventory costs by $5.6M

How an AI-powered demand forecasting solution can lead to a 30% improvement in forecast accuracy and millions of dollars saved each month.

forecasted_corestickm159sfrbatl_1718287238.917734

Forecasting 12 steps into the future using the TimeGPT model.

forecasted_corestickm159sfrbatl_1718286880.457913

Forecasting 12 steps into the future using the TimeGPT model.

forecasted_corestickm159sfrbatl_1718286357.980679

Forecasting 12 steps into the future using the TimeGPT model.

forecasted_corestickm159sfrbatl_1718282834.941192

Forecasting 12 steps into the future using the TimeGPT model.

forecasted_job_openings-total_nonfarm

Forecasting 12 steps into the future using the TimeGPT model.

What is TimeGPT?

TimeGPT is a transformer model for time series forecasting across fields like retail, electricity, finance, and IoT.

Forecasted Copper Prices (July 2024, 3 month outlook)

Market forecast report for Copper Prices (PCOPPUSDM), looking at monthly price movements from May to July 2024.

copper-price-forecast-june-2024

3 month outlook of copper prices (May to July 2024)

Forecasted Oil Prices (June 2024)

Market forecast report for WTI Crude Oil Prices (DCOILWTICO), looking at daily price movements in June 2024.

oil-price-forecast-june-2024

Predicted oil prices (WTI Crude) for June 2024

In an insightful post on Nousot's website, Alexandra Haefele describes how AI and advanced analytics are revolutionizing demand forecasting. Traditional human-based forecasting is being phased out in

AutoTS is a powerful and flexible Python package for time series forecasting. Unique to AutoTS, it not only includes a wide variety of forecasting models—ranging from naive and statistical to machine

housing-report-may-2024

Source data and forecasts for "Housing Market Report (May 2024)

Housing Market Report (May 2024): Is Now a Good Time to Buy a Home?

Navigating the U.S. Housing Market: Insights for Homebuyers