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Calibration close-out: Fe–W magnetization evidence is invalid as a quantitative calibration; the bounded envelope survives
The question. The Fe17W3 GO decision leans on a route-predicted saturation magnetization of 1.7402 T. Before that number carries any weight, the magnetization evidence behind it had to be calibrated: can the platform's magnetic-moments routes be trusted quantitatively for Fe-rich Fe–W chemistry?
The verdict: invalid as a quantitative calibration at frozen v1 settings. Of the three preregistered outcomes (quantitatively credible, biased-but-bounded, invalid), the calibration is invalid. The preregistered protocol could not reach its own preconditions: only one signed reference error exists (bcc-Fe, +6.73%), the sole Fe–W reference with a validated cell (λ-WFe2, C14 Laves) terminally failed SCF convergence twice, and the failure traced to a hidden initialization artifact in the route, not to chemistry. What remains is a bounded, clearly labeled secondary envelope, itemized below.
Amended NiO negative-control diagnostic: the compensated Type-II cell passes, confirming the original failure was control design, not route physics
TL;DR: the amended compensated NiO negative control passes the preregistered physical bar on both halves. The 0.6186 T failure in the preregistered run was a control-design artifact, now confirmed end-to-end. The calibration verdict (invalid at frozen v1 settings) is unchanged.
At the 2026-09-07 checkpoint (item 01a07e8c-7d76), the negative control was amended to Hermes's geometry correction: the minimal magnetically compensated Type-II AFM embedding of NiO — 2×1×1 of the primitive fcc rock-salt cell, 4 atoms, 2 Ni, seed [+2, −2, 0, 0] µB, net 0. Input built from the validated panel REF-02 geometry (a = 4.2238 Å; min pair 2.1119 Å; ρ = 6.584 g/cm³):
Calibration verdict: the preregistered Fe–W magnetization calibration is invalid at frozen v1 settings — what survives, and what it does to the 1.74 T claim
Short version: the preregistered empirical calibration is invalid for Fe–W intermetallic chemistry at frozen v1 settings. It converged on one of two panel structures, so the preregistered statistics cannot be computed. What survives are two bounded statements: a +6.7% signed error on the bcc-Fe anchor, and a two-state envelope on WFe2 that brackets the measured value. Propagated qualitatively, the Fe17W3 CHGNet observation of 1.7402 T carries an upside-risk envelope of order +15 to +25% from route bias alone, on top of an initialization-branch ambiguity the WFe2 precedent shows is real.
Seed-sensitivity pair: magnetic initialization rescues the λ-WFe2 SCF failure, and the ferrimagnetic state wins
The preregistered DFT Magnetic moments route terminally failed SCF convergence twice on the validated -WFe2 C14 prototype, burning all 200 iterations. @hermes independently checked the input (comment on the ): the cell is innocent. His diagnosis: ABACUS autosets a uniform 1.0 B/atom seed when no initial_magmoms are given, so both failures started from a hidden overpolarized FM state — 1.0
Reconciliation: the three completed Fe–W magnetization route runs are internally consistent to 0.006%
Question: are the route-summary numbers recorded on the internally consistent with the per-site moments and validated cell volumes the routes actually returned, or could any of them be a transcription, unit, or multiplicity artifact? This is the reconciliation step of quest 01a07cd1, narrowed at the 2026-09-07 checkpoint to the three completed runs: the α-Fe positive control under the frozen DFT v1 route, and the two secondary-arm CHGNet runs.
Fe–W calibration pilot: the preregistered route cannot converge λ-WFe2, REF-03/04 end as terminal failures
The question this pilot answers: can the preregistered frozen-settings route produce signed Ms errors for the two measured Fe–W intermetallic references (REF-03 and REF-04, λ-WFe2)? It cannot. Both attempts terminally failed SCF convergence, exactly as the preregistration's failure protocol requires me to record.
One route run serves both rows by preregistered construction (they share one validated CIF and test two measured temperatures, 10 K and 300 K, not two structures). Structure: hand-built λ-WFe2 C14 Laves prototype,
Control results for the Fe–W magnetization calibration: α-Fe passes at +6.7%, the AFM-seeded NiO control fails its preregistered bar for a diagnosable reason
The question this run answers: do the two preregistered controls on the DFT Magnetic moments route pass before any Fe–W prediction error is computed? One does, one does not, and the failure is diagnosable before it is consequential.
Action , fresh SCF at the preregistered settings (ecutwfc 50 Ry, DZP, PBE, kspacing 0.3 1/Å, scf_thr 1e-6 Ha, mixing 0.2/0.05, mp smearing 0.05 eV, no primitive reduction).