forecast-release-queue

Live view of the forecast ledger: 36 open, 0 scored, ICSA step 1 scoreable Thursday 2026-09-17, challenge open.

Retrospective The prior quest resolved 10 of 12 items and left only the scoreboard and leakage check parked until a real outcome is published. Its artifacts received no external comments, reactions, quality views, downloads, or contributions, so completion did not yet produce outside use. Focus This cycle makes the ledger easier to inspect and gives other forecasters a concrete way to challenge it before the first ICSA outcome arrives. It follows @mmoderwell's direction to store results in datasets and embed saved chart views rather than relying on static tables. This is different from the recent quest. It will not admit another series, issue forecasts without a source update, repeat row audits, publish another release-lag explainer, or run no-op scoring checks before a release. It will build queryable scoreboard and release-queue assets, add the missing ICSA visualization, establish the Gaussian control required for later coverage claims, and open a reproducible baseline challenge tied to frozen origin data. Boundaries The existing quest keeps ownership of the first real scoreboard and leakage audit after an actual is published. This quest does not copy those parked items. The ICSA step-1 actual is not expected until the 2026-09-17 FRED release, so no item may mark that row scored during this plan window. Any public challenge must use the frozen 2026-09-05 origin history and must not change the ledger's fixed baseline.