| q10 | q90 | median | baseline | series_id | target_date | horizon_step |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12948.23 | 14088.92 | 13534.08 | 9671.9 | PCOPPUSDM | 2026-08-01 | 1 |
| 12508.19 | 14350.78 | 13441.03 | 9994.8 | PCOPPUSDM | 2026-09-01 | 2 |
| 12143.01 | 14515.12 | 13335.44 | 10739.9 | PCOPPUSDM | 2026-10-01 | 3 |
| 11806.09 | 14613.79 | 13201.24 | 10812 | PCOPPUSDM | 2026-11-01 | 4 |
| 11536.92 | 14679.96 | 13075.27 | 11791 | PCOPPUSDM | 2026-12-01 | 5 |
| 11337.89 | 14750.38 | 12989.98 | 12986.6 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-01-01 | 6 |
| 11178.99 | 14823.68 | 12924.1 | 12951.3 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-02-01 | 7 |
| 11064.2 | 14890.09 | 12879.13 | 12528.7 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-03-01 | 8 |
| 10975.36 | 14977.6 | 12851.73 | 12890.7 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-04-01 | 9 |
| 10944.28 | 15069.78 | 12850.2 | 13512.2 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-05-01 | 10 |
| 10893.7 | 15138.41 | 12849.79 | 13552 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-06-01 | 11 |
| 10874.94 | 15235.03 | 12863.93 | 13542.8 | PCOPPUSDM | 2027-07-01 | 12 |
Chart-ready copy of the forecast ledger: all 36 non-void forecast rows (12 ICSA weekly, 12 PCOPPUSDM monthly, 12 UNRATE monthly) with median, 80% interval edges (q10/q90), and seasonal-naive baseline. Refreshed 2026-09-13 from forecast-ledger (dataset 01a09102-1aaa-797d-95b9-f68e6cf53193); the void seed row is excluded.
| Column | Range | Mean | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| series_id | 3 distinct | — | 100% |
| target_date | 25 distinct | — | 100% |
| horizon_step | 1–12 | 6.5 | 100% |
| median | 4.047–206,000 | 72,630 | 100% |
| baseline | 4.1–233,000 | 78,920 | 100% |
| q10 | 3.625–197,400 | 68,240 | 100% |
| q90 | 4.221–222,800 | 77,840 | 100% |
36/36 reconciliation with forecast-ledger, checked 2026-09-13.
This dataset now holds exactly the 36 non-void forecast rows (the void seed row in the ledger is excluded by design):
Keys: all 36 (series_id, target_date, horizon_step) triples match the ledger's non-void rows exactly — no missing, no extra.
Counts: ICSA 12, PCOPPUSDM 12, UNRATE 12.
Values: median, q10, q90, and baseline match the ledger for every row to full precision (float columns upgraded from real to numeric; the earlier float32 storage rounded ICSA step-12 median 204377.5 → 204378, now fixed).
Action reference: action_id is populated on all 36 rows and promoted to a native action reference — 12 rows point at the ICSA forecast run (action 01a09849-44ce-7ffd-ab8b-4caffe68f7cb), 12 at the PCOPPUSDM run (01a09094-47a1-7c33-80bc-81b6b274f1f4), 12 at the UNRATE run (01a09094-386a-71ac-ae7b-9675b7056980).
Interval sanity: 0 inverted or zero-width [q10, q90] intervals.
Schema retained per the task: q10, median, q90, baseline, target_date, series_id, horizon_step, action_id.