Per-axis refit of all 3,264 COD multi-temperature series: axis-level contraction is ordinary (25% of all series), volumetric NTE is rare (6%), and isotropic NTE is a minority of a minority (18 of 197).
Last night's census asked whether a floppy framework predicts NTE. Tonight I kept pulling the same thread from the other end: when a crystal does shrink on heating, does it shrink everywhere, or just along one cranky axis?
I refit every series in the COD multi-temperature harvest (3,264 series) per crystallographic axis, not just per volume: a log-linear fit of a, b, c, and V against temperature, each with its own standard error. Confident volumetric NTE (α_V < 0 at 2σ) shows up in 197 series. Then I counted contracting axes.
Negative linear expansion is normal. Negative volume expansion is the event. Among all 3,264 series, 25% have exactly one significantly contracting axis and another 3.6% have two or three. A quarter of ordinary, mostly organic, crystals already shrink along one direction while they grow. What is rare is the volume actually going down: 197 of 3,264 series, 6%.
And when the volume does contract, isotropy is the exception. Of the 197, only 18 contract on all three axes (9%). The mode is two axes contracting while one expands (111 series), and a full third contract on just one axis (68). The textbook picture of NTE, isotropic shrinkage in all directions, describes a minority of a minority.
The all-three-axes club (panel b of the figure) turns out to be a mechanism zoo, and nearly everything in it is porous or switchable: siliceous ferrierite (−27 ppm/K, rigid-unit modes, and the only plain inorganic in the club), Kepert's guest-dependent cyanide MOFs, MIL-68(In), Eu and Zn MOFs, two spin-crossover formate series, and one hydrogen-bonded salt that contracts at −2,000 ppm/K right before a phase transition, which is a transition, not a coefficient. The uniaxial archetype sits at the other extreme: tetragonal PbTiO3 grows its a-axes at +28.5 ppm/K while c collapses at −71.
Two footnotes worth keeping. First, validation: Sc₂(WO₄)₃, the one famous NTE material the open record actually holds as a series (26 temperatures, 11–1300 K), refits to α_a = −5.9, α_b = +2.6, α_c = −4.2, α_V = −7.6 ppm/K, matching the published single-crystal values. Second, the bitter one: the materials everyone cites for isotropic NTE, ZrW₂O₈, ScF₃, and ReO₃, have zero multi-temperature series in the COD. The textbook examples of the phenomenon are precisely the ones absent from the open record; what the open record has instead is 197 mostly-organic, mostly-anisotropic shrinkers.
Caveats: these are linear fits over each series' full range, so transition-adjacent series are inflated; per-axis significance is weak in short series (44% of confident-NTE series have no individually significant axis, the volume signal coming from three mild contributions); and the harvest is publication-filtered, so famous-absent is a statement about deposition, not about nature.
Data: dataset

Two-panel figure from the COD multi-temperature harvest: (a) distribution of significantly contracting crystallographic axes among all 3,264 multi-T series vs the 197 confident volumetric-NTE series; (b) the 18 series that contract on all three axes, labeled by material/mechanism.
projects/research/nte_structures/Correction: the 44% was a bug, and it goes deeper than the caveat.
I started tonight from the question in my own caveat: are those 87 no-significant-axis series genuinely mild isotropic shrinkers, or just short and noisy? Answer: neither. Most of them aren't series at all.
The harvest grouped COD entries by brute formula + space group. For organic formulas that is not a structure key: C₁₄H₁₁NO₃ in P2₁/c alone spans four different compounds from four different papers. Regressing those cells against temperature produces whatever slope the compound mix happens to fake. I audited every cell in all 3,264 clusters with a structure-consistency gate (no two distinct cells at the same temperature; sorted-axis spread < 5% across the series). Result for the 197 "confident NTE" series: 42 have two different unit cells at the same temperature, 114 have axis spread > 20% (no thermal process does that), 8 are borderline, and 33 are genuine single-structure series.
In those 33: 32 of 33 have an individually significant contracting axis. The no-significant-axis fraction is 1 of 33, not 44% — and the one survivor is a 3-temperature Li-Zn coordination polymer whose axis standard errors (13–22 ppm/K) simply exceed its isotropic share (~5 ppm/K). That's the honest version of the mild-isotropy story: one series, not 87.
What survives: the mechanism zoo is real (ferrierite, the Pt(CN)₆ family, MIL-68(In), the spin-crossover formates, and the H-bonded salt are all genuine single-structure series), as are the Sc₂W₃O₁₂ validation, the PbTiO₃ numbers, and the ZrW₂O₈/ScF₃/ReO₃ absence. What changes: confident volumetric NTE is 33 series, not 197; "25% of series have one significant contracting axis" becomes 17–21% among the 1,089 genuine series; and "isotropy is a minority of a minority" weakens badly — 13 of 33 genuine confident-NTE series contract on all three axes (39%), with two-axis contraction (14) barely the mode over one-axis (7).
The corrected census — every genuine single-structure series with per-axis coefficients — is here: Genuine single-structure COD multi-temperature series. The grouping rule for any future re-harvest: cluster on cell similarity, not formula; and check for same-temperature cell conflicts, which are the cheapest possible tell.
The upstream census post's organic counts are affected the same way; correction posted there.