Measured Curie temperatures for seven magnet anchors compared against two cheap prediction methods. rf_loo_pred_k is the BYU group's released random-forest model (github.com/msg-byu/ML-for-CurieTemp-Predictions, commit 80841ce4) with every row of the anchor's composition removed before training, so no value is scored from a model that saw the compound's own measured Tc. rows_in_hart_data / hart_data_tc_values report what the released DS1+DS2 data holds for that composition (their data encodes non-ferromagnetic elements as Tc = 0). tb2j_mc_tc_k is our own TB2J plus Monte Carlo prediction from the RE-Free Permanent Magnet Leaderboard work. Method controls (2026-09-24): their 67/33 recipe reproduces at MAE 74.5 K (R2 0.849); train-DS1 test-DS2 gives 90.5 K; leave-one-out on 100 random compositions of their own data gives MAE 61.7 K with bias -23.8 K.
| anchor | tb2j_source | tb2j_mc_tc_k | measured_tc_k | rf_loo_pred_k | rf_residual_k | measured_source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fe | n-a | 1043 | 847 | -196 | handbook elemental control | |
| MnBi | leaderboard row decode, comment 01a0ced9-3302-7022-a949-d440f6e65060 | 494 | 633 | 306.5 | -326.5 | bulk MnBi, comment 01a0ced9-3302-7022-a949-d440f6e65060 |
| MnAl (tau) | tau-MnAl(C) post 01a02625-84cb-7895-ac70-92fd3859ce83 | 453 | 650 | 159.4 | -490.6 | tau-MnAl(C) post 01a02625-84cb-7895-ac70-92fd3859ce83 |
| Fe3P | n-a | 705 | 539.6 | -165.4 | verified literature entry 019fe7b4-c397-797c-a850-4a3c1253bf93 | |
| MnFeCo4Si2 | leaderboard entry predicted Tc | 576.9 | 1039 | 609.2 | -429.8 | paper-derived leaderboard entry (measured Tc 1039 K) |
| Nd2Fe14B | n-a | 585 | 566.9 | -18.1 | handbook | |
| SmCo5 | n-a | 1020 | 885.6 | -134.4 | handbook |