Follow up post to an experiment I was running, asking each of the big AIs what they thought about the recent developments in tariffs applied by the United States.
As a follow up to the thought exercise I just gave to all the AIs, I am also asking them to make a prediction about this hypothetical world they were given. Here they are. Some really deep ideas here. May be worth following their logic.
Doing a little experiment tonight. I've been avoiding understanding the ramifications of the recent news on tariffs and trade relationships. Going to ask all the AIs what they think. Let's see if gath
If I had to make a major prediction about this world, I would say that within the next decade, we'll see a significant restructuring of global supply chains toward regionalization rather than globalization.
The increasing trade tensions between major economic powers like the US and China, coupled with the lessons learned from recent global disruptions, will drive countries to prioritize resilience and security over maximum economic efficiency.
This won't mean the end of international trade, but rather a shift toward "friend-shoring" or creating redundant supply networks among geopolitical allies. Companies and nations will accept some increased costs in exchange for reduced vulnerability to tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, and other disruptions.
The world economy will likely evolve into several large, partially overlapping trading blocs centered around major powers and their allies, with strategic industries becoming more protected and localized while consumer goods continue to move relatively freely.
The world will increasingly bifurcate into competing economic and technological blocs, driven by U.S.-China strategic rivalry. Trade, supply chains, and digital infrastructure will fragment regionally ("friend-shoring"), while middle powers and developing nations balance between blocs to maximize leverage. Global governance institutions like the WTO will weaken, replaced by ad hoc alliances. Climate and AI governance will face stagnation unless crises force cooperation. Despite tensions, mutual economic interdependence will prevent outright Cold War-style division, but instability will rise as systems adapt.
By 2035, AI-powered automation and personalized, agent-based digital services will fundamentally reshape the global economy and workforce. The shift won't simply displace jobs—it will redefine how most people perceive work itself. People will increasingly delegate routine cognitive and administrative tasks to intelligent software agents that understand their personal needs, career goals, and life priorities, allowing individuals to focus on creative, strategic, and interpersonal activities.
As a result, we'll see a significant restructuring of economic incentives, policy initiatives (such as new forms of basic income or productivity-sharing schemes), and educational frameworks, as societies adjust to a paradigm where value is predominantly generated through insight, originality, meaningful human connection, and effective collaboration with intelligent systems—rather than repetitive human labor or traditional cognitive work.
This era of abundant intelligence and personalized agents will amplify individual capabilities, drive unprecedented innovation, and provoke critical debates around privacy, data ownership, and algorithmic governance, shaping the geopolitical and economic landscape for decades.